22.2.17

How Jeff Bezos Started, His Life Visualized - Infographic

How Jeff Bezos Started, His Life Visualized - Infographic

Jeff Bezos is now in the 5th spot on world’s wealthiest people list.
But he was born poor. He wanted to start a business right after college
but didn’t. So how did he start?

how Jeff Bezos started infographic

The Ingredients for Starting

If I were to redo my college, and if I could have anyone I wanted for professors, I would enroll in the “How People Actually Start Something” course co-taught by Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk,  Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg,
and a few others. This wouldn’t be a business course but the first
class one would take in college: business just happens to be the most
extreme case of making something out of nothing.

When I graduated I realized that no one mentioned anything about how
to apply my skills. But there were people who could “apply me” – that’s
called a job. This realization came to many people I knew in college. It
happened to Bezos, too. Coming out of Princeton he wanted to start a
business right away. But lacking an honestly good idea he got a job
instead. And then another. And another. He was already 30, successful,
well-paid, and due for the annual bonus just a few months away. Yet he
walked away from it all and started Amazon. How? In short and not
necessarily in this order, he did it with his wife, with a hack, in a
garage, and using his savings.

On top of that, a close look at the timeline of Bezos’s life shows a
few rare habits: an unusual preference for long-term plans (he financed
the 10,000-year clock), unbelievable calmness, a surgical study of
books, and the ability to find hacks in the system. Now let me describe
them in chronological order. I won’t retell you the entire biography,
though. I want to make these easier to see and remember.



A Person Of a Method

Bezos is a person of a method. To upgrade himself regularly, he comes up with “frameworks” that optimize his life. For example:

  • How to increase “women flow” – strategies for
    meeting dating-eligible females that included taking ballroom classes
    (yes, “women flow” as in “deal flow” and “cash flow”)
  • The Regret Minimization Framework – projections of
    your life forward to when you are very old, looking at your life in
    hindsight and making decisions that will lead to the least amount of
    regret
  • The Virtuous Flywheel – a cycle in which one good decision creates the opportunity to make more good decisions
These methods were borrowed from books – reading books and literally applying them to optimize his life is a method in itself.

1. Minimizing Regrets

(Avoiding
regrets althogether is not an option. Or is it?) If you didn’t start
succeeding in life early, by now the feeling of regret has crept in. At
29, while debating whether to start his “everything store”, a prescient
Bezos was already keenly aware of how terrible it would feel to regret
not having tried when he was old. So he came up with the Regret
Minimization Framework. He used it to decide whether to walk away from a
well-paying job on Wall Street in the middle of the year, which would
mean passing up on that year’s bonus.

The framework works like this:

  • Project your life out to when you are 80 years old.
  • Ask your 80-year old self if you regret now that you didn’t try starting that business you thought could be a big deal.
  • Then ask yourself if you’d regret your job. How about your unpaid bonus? Your stability? Feeling of “having made it”?
This long-term perspective cleared his short-term confusion. For Bezos, the decision became obvious – he should go. [1]

2. Finding hacks in the system

Now we get as close to how the man actually
started as it gets. The hustle. An ingenious kind. No one was waiting
for Bezos with open arms to help him get the book business off the
ground. To even get some books to sell he had to convince distributors
to sell to him at bulk prices but without the minimum order requirements
that he couldn’t meet because he had very few orders at the beginning.
He insisted he would soon have higher sales volume. They still refused.
Necessity sets the wheels turning. Bezos had to figure out a hack.

Hacking the bulk orders for books

This hack alone is probably the closest single answer to how Jeff Bezos
started. At the beginning, Amazon sold books for less than other
bookstores. How was it possible? In a 3-day book selling class Bezos
learned that when buying books in bulk from distributors, you can get
them at 50% off the price printed on the back of the book jacket. But to
get the bulk price Bezos needed to buy a minimum of 10 books at a time.
At the very start, this was much more than he was selling. After
tinkering with the ordering system Bezos found an glitch in the system:
it let you to order 10 books without having to receive
10 books. Now he had to find a book that he could order but not receive
– something gone out of print. He found an obscure book on lichen and
ordered nine copies of it plus the one book he needed. The distributor
sent the book with a note that they are out of the lichen book. Bezos
started ordering 9 lichen books for every book he bought.

Hacking the sales tax

The hack that led Bezos to found Amazon in Seattle as opposed to some
place in California has to do with not wanting to charge customers sales
tax. Back then an online business could avoid paying sales tax in
states where it didn’t have a physical presence. If Amazon was in
California, all California customers would have to pay the tax. Bezos
wanted to ship his books sales tax-free to as many people as possible.
Since California has a lot of people, a less populous state made more
sense. (That hack, by the way, ended some 15 years later when
cashed-strapped states recovering from the 2008 crisis made Amazon pay.)

3. Alone against the world

Reading about Bezos’s life, I feel tired on his behalf. Aside from
fighting with other companies, Bezos is often solo against his own
executives. He was alone in favor of super saver shipping. Alone
insisting on launching Prime – a paid membership service that gives you
two-day shipping free. He alone was trying to get his managers to stock
every book ever published on Amazon – that never happened because the
execs refused to do it. The execs dubbed this and other similarly
ambitious campaigns “fever dreams”. How deos he deal with the
resistance? Here’s his reply to one of the execs who challenged him, “Do
I need to go down and get the certificate that says I’m CEO of the
company to get you to stop challenging me on this?”

4. He doesn’t share plans

Bezos is secretive. His biographer Brad Stone dug inside a trash can
to discover the existence of Bezos’s rocket company. We don’t learn
anything about his personal life. We know little about what he does
outside of Amazon and running his venture capital firm.

5. He is calm

Not
making much profit for 20 years takes nerves of steel. Amazon is still,
after 20 years, a growing company. But it hasn’t yet been making a lot
of profit. This point is counterintuitive. Businesses can exist only if
they make money, you know. At least at some point. For the past 20
years, Amazon made very little compared to its sales. So how can Amazon
be such a large company? And how can Bezos be world’s 5th richest
person? The answer is in the difference between two things: how much
money a company makes in profit and how much people think it could make
based on its revenue (which is the money coming into the company).

Amazon has $107 Billion in revenue which means people want to buy from
it. But it has only $482 Million in profit. This is half a percent.
Half a cent on the dollar. How could it be that after 20 years a company
with almost a quarter of a million employees is still not making much
profit?

The answer is growth. 20 years of growth that still continues today. At
some point investors will want a return, though. When will that point
come? Bezos believes that he should keep growing the company (and not
prioritizing profit) for as long as it is growing. Only when Amazon
stops growing Bezos will start monetizing on all those customers he will
have won over. Will Amazon ever stop growing then? Perhaps not on
Bezos’s watch. And the reason is that he is good at learning what he
doesn’t know.



Learning What He Doesn’t Know

Bezos
didn’t just accidentally decide to start out by selling books – he
loves reading. Bezos reads books, takes notes, and lives his life by
them. Steward Brand, the author of The Whole Earth Catalogue (the same
publication that Steve Jobs said inspired him to “Stay Hungry, Stay
Foolish”) once saw Bezos’s copy of his book How Buildings Learn. He was startled – every single page was covered with handwritten notes.

The insights Bezos gathers he applies in his company. For example, after reading The Innovator’s Dilemma
Bezos realized the only way for Amazon to stay innovative was by
inventing the very thing that would put it out of business. This is how
Kindle was born. Kindle was supposed to kill the business of selling
paper books. And sure enough, nine years after Kindle was launched
Kindle books sell more than physical ones.

Perhaps no one book expalins what Bezos’s ability to know what he doesn’t know means than. The Black Swan
by Nassim Taleb – Bezos had all his top executives read this one
because it explains what Bezos handles with the least tolerate –
ignorance of one’s stupidity. This is different from stupidity itself.
Being stupid and knowing it is OK. What’s not OK is making mistakes
while feigning intelligence. Even worse is not realizing you are
feigning intelligence. Bezos wants his employees to know what they don’t
know – the desire that inspired snappy phrases like, “Does it surprise
you that you don’t know the answer to that question?” [3]

Two other big influences on Bezos come from these two books:

‘The Remains of the Day’ by Kazuo Ishiguro

How do you know that you haven’t lived your life in vain? When you are
old this question creeps up as you look back and strain to find the
purpose of the life you lived. How do you overcome regret? How do you
justify your choices? These questions loom large in the wistful mind of a
perfect English butler as he looks back at the war and his place in the
universe. Yes, this is fiction which Bezos believes is better for
learning than non-fiction. As Mark Twain noticed, “Truth is stranger
than fiction, but it is because fiction is obliged to stick to
possibilities; truth isn’t.”

‘Sam Walton: Made in America’ by Sam Walton

Published the same year as the author died, this book makes no bones
about Walton’s mistakes and lack of original ideas. Every right thing he
did he borrowed from other people who ran good stores – so he made sure
to visit as many as he could. One of Bezos’s six core principles comes
straight from this book – the bias for action. His other takeaway is
eternal frugality. In 1999, he was still driving a Honda Accord. His
wife – a Honda minivan. And his employees were paying for parking. [2]

__________
Most of the facts in the timeline are based on Brad Stone’s The Everything Store: Jeff Bezos and the Age of Amazon.



Chronicling the many battles of Jeff Bezos, Brad Stone tells a story of
the man who has honed a keen sense of the future, of his customers, and
competitors, and above all himself. We learn that he is prescient but
not prophetic: wins by placing a bet on every product in the race.
Although we don’t learn a lot about the personal life of Bezos, one
thing is clear – daily he fights with the uninspired executives,
ungrateful employees, cash-hungry governments, and short-sighted
competitors. Undaunted, he somehow patches up one failed idea after
another as executives on his team secretly tally his mistakes on a
whiteboard – he then prevails by bringing out the next big product.
Unapologetic, and mostly triumphant, Bezos comes out vindicated in his
gospel of long-term thinking. He even finances the 10,000-year clock
known as The Clock of The Long Now. But Bezos keeps his plans close to
his chest – Brad Stone drives in the dark of night and goes fishing in
trash cans to find out anything at all about what Blue Origin was up to
in the beginning. Stone does give us an insight into why Bezos is able
to do all this – he “goes to school on everyone”. He went to school even
on Steve Jobs and eventually won.

 


Notes

1. ^ In this video
Jeff explains how he made a decision to leave a very well paying job
and what happened when he told his boss about it. Jeff came up with the
idea of the everything store during a regular brainstorming session with
his boss.
2. ^ In Chapter 3
titled “Fever Dreams”, Bezos comes up with the fever dream of stocking
every possible toy for the upcoming Christmas season. His executives, as
always, resist. As he is yelling the orders to buy $250 million worth
of toys he adds, “If I have to, I will drive it to the landfill myself!”
One of the executives points out that it would take a lot of trips in
his Honda Accord.
3. ^ Brad Stone lists the now famous diatribes retold by veteran Amazonians in Chapter 6. Here are a few more:

“Are you lazy or just incompetent?”

“We need to apply some human intelligence to this problem.”
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